What Are the Odds the Knicks Make the Playoffs Under Thibodeau?

The Knicks have officially hired Tom Thibodeau as their head coach. He got a 5 year deal, but this is the Knicks so lets be realistic and say he’ll be coach for at least the next two years. The Knicks will also most likely be getting Mike Woodson as their assistant coach. He happened to be the coach the last time the Knicks made the playoffs. That got me thinking, what are the odds the Knicks make the playoffs under Tom Thibodeau?

First lets take a look at what happened last year. The Knicks entered the 2019-20 season with +575 odds, on average, to reach the postseason. They finished the abbreviated regular season with the fourth-worst point differential in the league and the lowest ELO rating at FiveThirtyEight.  There is every reason to expect NY’s odds to make the 2021 playoffs to open at roughly the same number, i.e. in the +550 to +600 range. That would mean oddsmakers are giving them about a 12-15% chance. Once the current season ends in a few months, there should be early odds available for next season. The NBA section at Sports Betting Dime should have updated content by then so you’ll be able to check on the 2020-21 season.

Of course those odds were with Hornacek as coach and the Knicks now have a real actual basketball coaching staff. Now that the Knicks have the coach settled it’s time to look at the roster. It looks like Payton and Portis are gone. Payton was the Knicks best (only?) point guard last season. This means the Knicks point guard rotation will probably look something like whatever rookie they draft, Smith Jr., and Frank. Unless that draft pick is immediately good this can get messy. Of course the Knicks will have a ton of cap space if they don’t pick up a few team options but there doesn’t seem to be a quick fix on the market currently.

For arguments sake lets say everything works out, the draft pick is great, Frank, Knox, and Robinson all take a leap, and they find a free agent that makes them a little better. The next question is; is there room for the Knicks in the playoff picture? Milwaukee, Toronto, Boston, Philly, Miami and Indiana are virtual locks, and the Nets will most likely be there too. That means the Knicks would have to pass Charlotte, Washington, Orlando, and Chicago while staying ahead of Detroit and Atlanta who both will probably be better than last season.  A lot can change between now and December but as of now I’d say a 12-15% chance at making the playoffs seems a little high.

New York’s Offense and the Erasing of the Fizdale Effect

David Fizdale seen here mimicking everyone watching the game.

Written by: Austin Snyder

In order to fully understand the following jumble of words about America’s favorite target for uninformed sports opinions some backstory is needed. The enigma at the center of the story? David Fizdale (finally, a twist worthy of Stephen A. Smith). The general consensus about the Fizdale hiring from those who, like myself, actually pay attention to the Knicks is that Fizdale was brought in with the sole intention of being a lure for Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving and was probably never thought to be a solid choice to lead a team on a complete rebuild. So why does it matter?

Anyone who watched the Knicks with Fizdale at the helm would have been hard pressed not to notice the lack of an offensive system (or defensive one for that matter) under his guidance. Instead, the most valuable franchise in the NBA, worth an excess of four billion dollars, sported an offense reminiscent of watching my 7 year old nephew’s elementary school games on a nightly basis. No ball movement, no plays, and certainly no consistency. So why did Fiz ever get the job in the first place?

Continue reading

SPEAKING OF EARNING IT….

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(GUEST POST) Ok, here’s my issue. I’m reading and hearing from a lot of Knicks fans that they want to fire Fizdale. Though I do agree that the Knicks record is entirely his fault, I don’t think firing him now is the answer. It would be a terrible reset on an already set back season, plus the management turnover issue is why we never have an identity or culture. I say stick to the culture that Fizdale set. How? Good question. Fiz has established the culture that this year nothing will be given, everything earned. You want playing time? Earn it! Continue reading

Episode 464: The Basketball Gods Hate US/Draft Lottery

Jay is off doing god knows what in Asia so Marc is joined by resident strong man and huge Knicks fan, Dustin. Dustin knows the draft lottery results but Marc does not. We talk draft lottery results, who the Knicks should take and NBA playoffs.

Episode 464

Episode 457: HAHA! Hezonja > Lebron

Jay is off somewhere battling CPA demons so friend of the show Dustin joins Marc for a fun conversation about the almighty Hezonja, the sad, sad Lebron, the draft, free agency and everything else Knicks we could think of.

Download Episode 457 

Top 4 Trade Proposals from Episode 447

In Episode 447 we proposed 29 trade scenarios involving the Knicks, one for each team in the NBA. Not all of them were great, but Marc and Jay each proposed three scenarios that we agreed were pretty interesting and would work for both teams.  In no particular order here are the 4 proposals:

#1 – The Knicks received Gordon Hayward and Terry Rozier for Enes Kanter and Tim Hardaway Jr. 

The Celtics do this if they get paranoid about Haywards health and Roziers regression and want to clear up a lot of cap space, the Knicks do this if they think Hayward bounces back next season and think Rozier might look better in a new situation.

#2 – The Knicks receive Klay Thompson for Tim Hardaway Jr., Frank Ntilikina, and Mitchell Robinson

The trade machine says the Knicks only get 1 game better, but if I were a betting man I’d guess the Knicks would be way better after this trade. Of course the only way the Warriors do this is if Klay says he’s definitely leaving and wants to be in NY.

#3 – Knicks get Ben Simmons and T.J. McConnell for Kristaps Porzingis and Emmanuel Mudiay

Too many ball handlers on the 76ers right now with Butler and Embiid, and Simmons seems like the odd man out. He can be the man in NY and Philly can have a front court of Porzingis and Embiid for a decade.

#4 – Knicks get Pau Gasol and Rudy Gay for Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee

The Spurs do this because they are in win now mode and this makes them better. The Knicks do this to clear up a bunch of cap space over the next two years.

Knicks Beat Bullets (okay, Wizards) in OT 124-121 (go back to harry pottersville)

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Mets started their season off 11-1 before becoming a goddamn laughing stock. The Jets had a huge opening night before crashing back to earth. I hope the Knicks didn’t peak tonight (peaking in preseason would be especially cruel).

It’s nice that the Knicks could actually win in OT which has not exactly been their specialty in recent memory and it was especially fun to see them do it with the 3rd string guys. Who knows how much the Wizards cared about winning but whatever, this was a fun way to kick things off. Here are my observations: Continue reading

The Knicks Coaching Hunt

Even in the weaker Eastern Conference, the Knicks are already longshots to make the 2019 NBA playoffs. The team finished 14 games back of the postseason this year and are staring down the barrel of half a season without Kristaps Porzingis, who suffered a devastating ACL tear in February. There is some indication that Kristaps could be ready as early as December, but the more likely scenario is that the Knicks’ brass takes the safe route with their franchise player and holds him out until the New Year, or even the entire season, treating 2018-19 as another rebuilding season.
No matter which coach is brought in to replace Jeff Hornacek, he will struggle mightily to form a playoff contender out of the remaining pieces on this roster.  The average figure on most sportsbooks currently have the Knicks at 7/3 (30% chance) to make the 2019 playoffs. Luckily before you put down any hard earned cash My Top Sportsbooks reviews can help in choosing which gambling site should be trusted, and with such a large selection chances are some are offering better odds than the 7/3 average.
The question is which route will the Knicks take. Right now it looks like the Knicks are interviewing a huge variety of different coaches (pretty much everyone except Jeff Van Gundy for some reason). So the question is what direction will the Knicks take? Will they go after the big name coach and try to use the little cap space they have to sign the biggest name free agent they can get (the usual route), or will they go after a coach more focused on  development, build through the draft, and take their time trying to build a solid team from the ground up (I wouldn’t bet on that approach if I were you)? What is guaranteed is there is going to be a lot of turnover in the next few weeks and the usual offseason drama. Hopefully when the dust settles we will be able to see a plan and the Knicks will actually be moving towards that plan.
Who do you think will end up being the Knicks next coach?

Knicks Look to Close Out NBA Season on High Note

Knicks Look to Close Out NBA Season on High Note

With only a few remaining games in what has been a disappointing season for the New York Knicks, there are still reasons to get interested in the final stretch. As the Knicks will go into most of their final games as underdogs, the NBA basketball lines for the Knicks remaining games promise some big payoffs for anyone looking to make money off of a Knicks upset.

Here are some of the key matchups to look at:

April 9th & 11th – home and home series against the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cavs will be looking to use these games as a springboard into the playoffs. Currently sitting in third place in the East and five games into a win streak, the Cavs would do themselves well by getting two big wins against an inferior team right before heading into the postseason. With as close as their division is (Indiana is right on their heels and Milwaukee isn’t too far behind either) the Cavs may even need these games to lock up third place, which will be crucial down the stretch. Look for a confident Cavaliers team to show up to this back to back series. It will be doubtful that the Knicks could pull wins off in either of these games, but if Cleveland takes things for granted in an effort to rest up before the playoffs, or if they choose to give their bench some more playing time before things get serious, the Knicks have a shot at a couple of wins here. As proof it’s not impossible, the Knicks did win the first meeting of the season, taking a 114-95 victory back on October 9th.

March 28th vs the 76’ers

Philadelphia has already locked up a spot in the east, but they are right in the middle of a bunch of teams who could move up or down the standings depending on how the rest of the season plays out. The Knicks have yet to win against the 76’ers this year, most recently dropping a 118-110 contest at home back on March 15th. Since Philly will be trying to string together some wins going into the playoffs to both give themselves momentum and gain ground in the standings, look for them not to take this contest lightly. This game is the least likely to end in an upset, so if you are looking to make money off the Knicks, this is not the most likely game to do it.

April 7th vs the Bucks

During a miserable 1-17 stretch that lasted all the way through February and halfway into March, the Knicks faced the Bucks three times and dropped all of those contests (92-90, 103-89 and 120-112). Fast forward to now, and well…nothing has changed much. The Bucks have still not clinched a spot in the East, but still have a good chance at making the playoffs along with the Miami Heat, with whom they are tied in wins with 39. Depending on what happens between now and then, these are games that the Knicks could possibly steal if Milwaukee takes things for granted. All three times they matched up this year the Knicks were in the middle of playing their worst basketball and come April 7th they might feel they have something to prove. You never know this time of year.

 March Madness Draft Preview

 March Madness Draft Preview

By Wyatt Krehbiel

As the NCAA tournament approaches many top NBA prospects will be in action providing NBA fans a good look. This is a good opportunity for fans whose teams are in tank mode to see potential prospects in action.

I recently got Twitter for the first time and one thing I have noticed is the apparent desperation among Knicks fans to reach the top of the lottery. Fortunately that may not be necessary to get a franchise cornerstone in this draft.

This was one of the best drafts at the top in recent memory, and the ascension of Oklahoma’s Trae Young just makes it better. Collin Sexton has been compared to last years fifth overall pick De’Aaron Fox. In this years draft many mock drafts have Sexton falling out of the top ten.

It also helps that the Knicks major deficiencies, defense, three point shooting, and the small forward position all can be addressed around the ninth pick. The back end of the top ten seems to be the optimal spot for a team seeking a three and D wing.

This season has been a career year for Villanova Junior Mikal Bridges. Up to this year he had been a defensive stud for the one seed Wildcats. Now he has been an offensive weapon as well. He averaged 18 points a game for a very good team, and is a good three point shooter. He has spent the most time in college of the top prospects which could help ease the transition to the NBA. His scoring ability, and three point shot are nice, but his ability to defend multiple positions, and shut down an opponents best player is his biggest draw.

Kevin Knox Continue reading